Your Flight
We analysed more than 22,000 data points along your route from İstanbul Airport, Arnavutköy, Istanbul to Benito Juárez International Airport, Ciudad de México.
Turkish Airlines
IST
MEX
TK181
Turkish Airlines · Live forecast
IST
→
MEX
89
Calm Score
"A smooth ride ahead — sit back and enjoy."
14h 45m
Duration
6,150 nm
Distance
40,000 ft
Cruise Altitude
HIGH
Confidence
Turbulence comfort along route
Comfort score combines turbulence probability with intensity — higher means rougher
Smooth
Light
Moderate
Severe
Notifications not available
This flight has already departed.
We know turbulence can feel scary — especially on long flights.
This report is built for you: what bumps feel like, when they happen, and why you'll be completely safe. 1 in 3 passengers feel exactly like you.
Right now on your route
Live pilot reports from aircraft flying IST → MEX
7 pilot reports along this route
6 / 7
Reporting smooth
0 / 7
Light turbulence
1
Moderate or worse
Latest pilot reports
Smooth
ARP KLM204 5550N 02518W 0311 F370 M56 245/98 5600N 02000W 0330 ETARI KT PHBKR QXT AME 160312 L59A
10m ago
Smooth
ARP DAL48 5157N04551W 0307 F380 5300N04000W 0333 5400N03000W MS47 268/32 KT N424DX DDL IG1 160307 J75A
14m ago
Moderate
IAD UA /OV CSN110010/TM 0307/FL170/TP B39M/TB MOD 120-140
14m ago
Smooth
MSY UA /OV FINAL RWY11/TM 0306/FL015/TP A321/RM BASES015
15m ago
Smooth
ARP AFR345 5232N04654W 0304 F350 5328N03959W 0333 5428N03000W MS47 282/35 KT FGZNN QXT AME 160304 F31A
17m ago
AI-powered flight briefing
22,000 data points analyzed
· HIGH confidence
Your Journey Beta
3 hours 50 minutes, 5 hours, and 8 hours 20 minutes into the flight: Some moderate bumps expected.
The crew may adjust altitude or ask you to stay seated during these sections.
The rest of the flight should be smooth.
Your route takes you over the Carpathian Mountains, over the Alps, crossing the North Atlantic Ocean, and over the Appalachian Mountains – these areas can sometimes cause turbulence.
Smooth Flight
We're expecting smooth conditions throughout your flight. You can sit back and relax.
Takeoff
Takeoff should feel smooth, with calm conditions around the airport.
Winds Aloft
Winds at cruising altitude are about 57 knots. These winds may delay arrival by up to 92 minutes.
Landing
Landing should feel smooth with possible light bumps with typical approach conditions.
You're in Safe Hands
If you feel nervous at any point, remember that turbulence is expected, safe, and part of normal flying. The crew is monitoring everything, and the aircraft is built to handle far more than anything you will feel. Have a safe and calm flight.
Relaxation Exercises
ZeroTurb Index (ZTI): Powered by our turbulence prediction algorithm combining atmospheric Richardson Number, wind shear analysis, temperature gradients, and geomagnetic activity. Learn more
Flight Timeline 14h 45min
Maximum turbulence expected per segment
Takeoff
Smooth
0:30-1:00
Smooth
1:00-1:30
Smooth
1:30-2:00
Smooth
2:00-2:30
Light
2:30-3:00
Light
3:00-3:30
Light
3:30-4:00
Moderate
4:00-4:30
Light
4:30-5:00
Light
5:00-5:30
Moderate
5:30-6:00
Light
6:00-6:30
Light
6:30-7:00
Light
7:00-7:29
Light
7:29-7:58
Light
7:58-8:27
Moderate
8:27-8:56
Light
8:56-9:25
Light
9:25-9:54
Light
9:54-10:23
Light
10:23-10:52
Light
10:52-11:21
Light
11:21-11:50
Smooth
11:50-12:19
Light
12:19-12:48
Smooth
12:48-13:17
Smooth
13:17-13:46
Smooth
13:46-14:15
Smooth
Landing
Light
Smooth
Light
Moderate
Severe
Longer bars indicate higher turbulence intensity. Values shown are the maximum for each time segment.
Airport conditions
Live weather at departure and arrival
IST
İstanbul Airport — Departure
Visibility
4 mi
Wind
9 kt (320°)
Sky
Broken
Temperature
6°C
Conditions
LIFR — Very poor visibility, significant delays expected
MEX
Benito Juárez International Airport — Arrival
Visibility
8 mi
Wind
5 kt (270°)
Sky
Unknown
Temperature
21°C
Conditions
VFR — Clear conditions, no delays expected
Your flight details
Departure timing and aircraft information
Evening Flight Departure
Time of day
Evening Flight
Tip
Evening and night flights typically offer smoother conditions as thermal activity subsides and the atmosphere stabilizes after sunset.
boeing 787-9 dreamliner
Category
Wide-Body Aircraft
Size
Large
Comfort
Large, twin-aisle aircraft like this generally provide the smoothest ride through turbulence due to their size, weight, and advanced stabilization systems.
Data sources & our approach
ZeroTurb's Custom Algorithm: Our proprietary
ZeroTurb Index (ZTI) combines three meteorological indices weighted by their
predictive accuracy — giving you transparent, passenger-focused turbulence probability instead
of vague categories.
This forecast integrates data from:
- ECMWF Open Data — Global atmospheric model (wind/temperature at 13 flight levels)
- NOAA Aviation Weather Center — Pilot Reports (PIREPs), SIGMETs/AIRMETs, TAFs
- NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center — Aurora forecasts for polar routes
- AviationStack API — Flight schedules and airline operational data
Disclaimer: This forecast is for informational purposes only. Always consult official aviation weather sources and follow ATC guidance.