Your Flight
We analysed more than 7,500 data points along your route from John F Kennedy International Airport, New York to Jose Maria Córdova International Airport, Medellín.
Avianca
JFK
MDE
AV153
Avianca · Live forecast
JFK
→
MDE
86
Calm Score
"A smooth ride ahead — sit back and enjoy."
5h 25m
Duration
2,072 nm
Distance
40,000 ft
Cruise Altitude
HIGH
Confidence
Turbulence comfort along route
Comfort score combines turbulence probability with intensity, higher means rougher
Smooth
Light
Moderate
Severe
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We know turbulence can feel scary — especially on long flights.
This report is built for you: what bumps feel like, when they happen, and why you'll be completely safe. 1 in 3 passengers feel exactly like you.
AI-powered flight briefing
7,500 data points analyzed
· HIGH confidence
Your Journey Beta
29 minutes, 2 hours 30 minutes, and 4 hours 40 minutes into the flight: Some moderate bumps expected.
The crew may adjust altitude or ask you to stay seated during these sections.
The rest of the flight should be smooth.
Your route takes you over the Appalachian Mountains, crossing the North Atlantic Ocean, and over the Andes – these areas can sometimes cause turbulence.
Smooth Flight
We're expecting smooth conditions throughout your flight. You can sit back and relax.
Takeoff
Takeoff should feel a bit bumpy initially, with calm conditions around the airport.
Winds Aloft
Winds at cruising altitude are about 31 knots.
Landing
Landing should feel a bit bumpy on descent with typical approach conditions.
You're in Safe Hands
If you feel nervous at any point, remember that turbulence is expected, safe, and part of normal flying. The crew is monitoring everything, and the aircraft is built to handle far more than anything you will feel. Have a safe and calm flight.
Relaxation Exercises
ZeroTurb Index (ZTI): Powered by our turbulence prediction algorithm combining atmospheric Richardson Number, wind shear analysis, temperature gradients, and geomagnetic activity. Learn more
Flight Timeline 5h 25min
Maximum turbulence expected per segment
Takeoff
Moderate
0:30-1:00
Moderate
1:00-1:30
Light
1:30-2:00
Light
2:00-2:30
Light
2:30-2:59
Moderate
2:59-3:28
Light
3:28-3:57
Light
3:57-4:26
Light
4:26-4:55
Moderate
Landing
Smooth
Smooth
Light
Moderate
Severe
Longer bars indicate higher turbulence intensity. Values shown are the maximum for each time segment.
Airport conditions
Live weather at departure and arrival
JFK
John F Kennedy International Airport — Departure
Visibility
0 mi
Wind
9 kt (160°)
Sky
Broken
Temperature
19°C
Conditions
LIFR — Very poor visibility, significant delays expected
MDE
Jose Maria Córdova International Airport — Arrival
Visibility
4 mi
Wind
2 kt
Sky
Scattered
Temperature
14°C
Conditions
MVFR — Reduced visibility, minor delays possible
Your flight details
Departure timing and aircraft information
Morning Flight Departure
Time of day
Morning Flight
Tip
Morning flights typically experience smoother conditions as the atmosphere is more stable and thermal turbulence hasn't yet developed.
When
Today
Data sources & our approach
ZeroTurb's Custom Algorithm: Our proprietary
ZeroTurb Index (ZTI) combines three meteorological indices weighted by their
predictive accuracy — giving you transparent, passenger-focused turbulence probability instead
of vague categories.
This forecast integrates data from:
- ECMWF Open Data — Global atmospheric model (wind/temperature at 13 flight levels)
- NOAA Aviation Weather Center — Pilot Reports (PIREPs), SIGMETs/AIRMETs, TAFs
- NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center — Aurora forecasts for polar routes
- AviationStack API — Flight schedules and airline operational data
Disclaimer: This forecast is for informational purposes only. Always consult official aviation weather sources and follow ATC guidance.