Your Flight
We analysed more than 4,500 data points along your route from Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport, Phoenix to Chicago O'Hare International Airport, Chicago.
American Airlines
PHX
ORD
AA1015
American Airlines · Live forecast
PHX
→
ORD
76
Calm Score
"Mostly smooth — one short bumpy section you'll handle."
2h 35m
Duration
1,249 nm
Distance
35,000 ft
Cruise Altitude
VERY HIGH
Confidence
Turbulence comfort along route
Comfort score combines turbulence probability with intensity — higher means rougher
Smooth
Light
Moderate
Severe
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This flight has already departed.
We know turbulence can feel scary — especially on long flights.
This report is built for you: what bumps feel like, when they happen, and why you'll be completely safe. 1 in 3 passengers feel exactly like you.
Right now on your route
Live pilot reports from aircraft flying PHX → ORD
15 pilot reports along this route
5 / 15
Reporting smooth
3 / 15
Light turbulence
7
Moderate or worse
Latest pilot reports
Light
PIA UA /OV KPIA/TM 2300/FL015/TP CRJ9/SK OVC015-TOP110/TB LGT CHOP BLO 030/RM DURD RY 31
10m ago
Light
MLI UA /OV MZV/TM 2254/FL320/TP A320/TB CONS LGT
16m ago
Smooth
PGSN UA /OV DOWNWIND RWY07/TM 2250/FL015/TP PA32/RM LIGHT RAIN WITH 020 SCATTERED CLOUD BASE, GOOD VISIBILITY
20m ago
Smooth
LWC UA /OV LWC/TM 2250/FL040/TP C68A/TA M05/IC LGT RIME 040-110/RM ZKC FDC CW
20m ago
Smooth
PNT UA /OV PNT245015/TM 2243/FL350/TP A320/TB LGT-MOD CHOP
27m ago
AI-powered flight briefing
4,500 data points analyzed
· VERY HIGH confidence
Your Journey Beta
46 minutes and 2 hours 15 minutes into the flight: Some moderate bumps expected.
The crew may adjust altitude or ask you to stay seated during these sections.
The rest of the flight should be smooth.
Your route takes you across the Sonoran Desert and over the Rocky Mountains – these areas can sometimes cause light turbulence.
Mostly Smooth
Overall conditions look mostly smooth with occasional light bumps. Nothing to worry about.
Takeoff
Takeoff should feel smooth with possible light bumps, with calm conditions around the airport.
Winds Aloft
Winds at cruising altitude are about 74 knots. These winds are favorable and may get you there up to 14 minutes early.
Landing
Landing should feel smooth with typical approach conditions.
You're in Safe Hands
If you feel nervous at any point, remember that turbulence is expected, safe, and part of normal flying. The crew is monitoring everything, and the aircraft is built to handle far more than anything you will feel. Have a safe and calm flight.
Relaxation Exercises
ZeroTurb Index (ZTI): Powered by our turbulence prediction algorithm combining atmospheric Richardson Number, wind shear analysis, temperature gradients, and geomagnetic activity. Learn more
Flight Timeline 2h 35min
Maximum turbulence expected per segment
Takeoff
Light
0:20-0:49
Moderate
0:49-1:18
Light
1:18-1:47
Light
1:47-2:15
Light
Landing
Moderate
Smooth
Light
Moderate
Severe
Longer bars indicate higher turbulence intensity. Values shown are the maximum for each time segment.
Airport conditions
Live weather at departure and arrival
PHX
Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport — Departure
Wind
9 kt (260°)
Sky
Scattered
Temperature
32°C
Conditions
VFR — Clear conditions, no delays expected
ORD
Chicago O'Hare International Airport — Arrival
Visibility
2 mi
Wind
15 kt G25 (10°)
Sky
Overcast
Temperature
4°C
Conditions
IFR — Low visibility, delays likely
Your flight details
Departure timing and aircraft information
Evening Flight Departure
Time of day
Evening Flight
Tip
Evening and night flights typically offer smoother conditions as thermal activity subsides and the atmosphere stabilizes after sunset.
When
Today
airbus a321-211
Category
Narrow-Body Aircraft
Size
Medium
Comfort
Single-aisle mainline jets like this offer a comfortable ride. While you may feel turbulence more than on wide-body aircraft, they are engineered to handle it smoothly.
Data sources & our approach
ZeroTurb's Custom Algorithm: Our proprietary
ZeroTurb Index (ZTI) combines three meteorological indices weighted by their
predictive accuracy — giving you transparent, passenger-focused turbulence probability instead
of vague categories.
This forecast integrates data from:
- ECMWF Open Data — Global atmospheric model (wind/temperature at 13 flight levels)
- NOAA Aviation Weather Center — Pilot Reports (PIREPs), SIGMETs/AIRMETs, TAFs
- NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center — Aurora forecasts for polar routes
- AviationStack API — Flight schedules and airline operational data
Disclaimer: This forecast is for informational purposes only. Always consult official aviation weather sources and follow ATC guidance.