Your Flight
We analysed more than 16,500 data points along your route from Sydney Kingsford Smith International Airport, Sydney (Mascot) to New Chitose Airport, Sapporo.
Qantas
SYD
CTS
QF107
Qantas · Live forecast
SYD
→
CTS
89
Calm Score
"A smooth ride ahead — sit back and enjoy."
19h 55m
Duration
4,636 nm
Distance
40,000 ft
Cruise Altitude
HIGH
Confidence
Turbulence comfort along route
Comfort score combines turbulence probability with intensity — higher means rougher
Smooth
Light
Moderate
Severe
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This flight has already departed.
We know turbulence can feel scary — especially on long flights.
This report is built for you: what bumps feel like, when they happen, and why you'll be completely safe. 1 in 3 passengers feel exactly like you.
AI-powered flight briefing
16,500 data points analyzed
· HIGH confidence
Your Journey Beta
27 minutes and 10 hours into the flight: Some moderate bumps expected.
The crew may adjust altitude or ask you to stay seated during these sections.
The rest of the flight should be smooth.
Your route takes you over the Great Dividing Range, crossing the South Pacific Ocean, and crossing the North Pacific Ocean – these areas can sometimes cause turbulence.
Smooth Flight
We're expecting smooth conditions throughout your flight. You can sit back and relax.
Takeoff
Takeoff should feel a bit bumpy initially, with calm conditions around the airport.
Winds Aloft
Winds at cruising altitude are about 48 knots. These winds are favorable and may get you there up to 17 minutes early.
Landing
Landing should feel a bit bumpy on descent with typical approach conditions.
You're in Safe Hands
If you feel nervous at any point, remember that turbulence is expected, safe, and part of normal flying. The crew is monitoring everything, and the aircraft is built to handle far more than anything you will feel. Have a safe and calm flight.
Relaxation Exercises
ZeroTurb Index (ZTI): Powered by our turbulence prediction algorithm combining atmospheric Richardson Number, wind shear analysis, temperature gradients, and geomagnetic activity. Learn more
Flight Timeline 19h 55min
Maximum turbulence expected per segment
Takeoff
Moderate
0:30-1:00
Light
1:00-1:30
Light
1:30-2:00
Light
2:00-2:30
Light
2:30-3:00
Light
3:00-3:30
Light
3:30-4:00
Smooth
4:00-4:30
Smooth
4:30-5:00
Smooth
5:00-5:30
Smooth
5:30-6:00
Smooth
6:00-6:30
Smooth
6:30-7:00
Light
7:00-7:30
Light
7:30-8:00
Smooth
8:00-8:30
Smooth
8:30-9:00
Smooth
9:00-9:30
Light
9:30-10:00
Moderate
10:00-10:30
Light
10:30-11:00
Light
11:00-11:30
Smooth
11:30-12:00
Smooth
12:00-12:30
Smooth
12:30-13:00
Light
13:00-13:30
Light
13:30-14:00
Light
14:00-14:30
Moderate
14:30-15:00
Light
15:00-15:30
Light
15:30-16:00
Light
16:00-16:30
Light
16:30-17:00
Smooth
17:00-17:29
Smooth
17:29-17:58
Light
17:58-18:27
Light
18:27-18:56
Light
18:56-19:25
Light
Landing
Light
Smooth
Light
Moderate
Severe
Longer bars indicate higher turbulence intensity. Values shown are the maximum for each time segment.
Airport conditions
Live weather at departure and arrival
SYD
Sydney Kingsford Smith International Airport — Departure
Wind
5 kt (350°)
Sky
NSC
Temperature
27°C
Conditions
VFR — Clear conditions, no delays expected
CTS
New Chitose Airport — Arrival
Wind
4 kt (200°)
Sky
Broken
Temperature
4°C
Conditions
VFR — Clear conditions, no delays expected
Your flight details
Departure timing and aircraft information
Evening Flight Departure
Time of day
Evening Flight
Tip
Evening and night flights typically offer smoother conditions as thermal activity subsides and the atmosphere stabilizes after sunset.
airbus a330-202
Category
Wide-Body Aircraft
Size
Large
Comfort
Large, twin-aisle aircraft like this generally provide the smoothest ride through turbulence due to their size, weight, and advanced stabilization systems.
Data sources & our approach
ZeroTurb's Custom Algorithm: Our proprietary
ZeroTurb Index (ZTI) combines three meteorological indices weighted by their
predictive accuracy — giving you transparent, passenger-focused turbulence probability instead
of vague categories.
This forecast integrates data from:
- ECMWF Open Data — Global atmospheric model (wind/temperature at 13 flight levels)
- NOAA Aviation Weather Center — Pilot Reports (PIREPs), SIGMETs/AIRMETs, TAFs
- NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center — Aurora forecasts for polar routes
- AviationStack API — Flight schedules and airline operational data
Disclaimer: This forecast is for informational purposes only. Always consult official aviation weather sources and follow ATC guidance.