Your Flight
We analysed more than 11,000 data points along your route from Toronto Lester B. Pearson International Airport, Toronto to Manchester Airport, Manchester, Greater Manchester.
Air Transat
YYZ
MAN
TS206
Air Transat · Live forecast
YYZ
→
MAN
80
Calm Score
"A smooth ride ahead — sit back and enjoy."
6h 55m
Duration
2,976 nm
Distance
39,000 ft
Cruise Altitude
HIGH
Confidence
Turbulence comfort along route
Comfort score combines turbulence probability with intensity — higher means rougher
Smooth
Light
Moderate
Severe
Set an alert before your flight
Beta
You still have 16 hours before departure. We'll notify you if this forecast changes.
We know turbulence can feel scary — especially on long flights.
This report is built for you: what bumps feel like, when they happen, and why you'll be completely safe. 1 in 3 passengers feel exactly like you.
Right now on your route
Live pilot reports from aircraft flying YYZ → MAN
15 pilot reports along this route
15 / 15
Reporting smooth
0 / 15
Light turbulence
0
Moderate or worse
Latest pilot reports
Smooth
ARP OCN12 5654N 03615W 0748 F370 M46 240/18 5630N 03000W 0814 5530N 02000W KT DAIKB DDL XXH 160748 J51A
2m ago
Smooth
ARP VIR20V 5637N03505W 0746 F370 5600N03000W 0807 5500N02000W MS43 345/20 KT GVWOO DDL XXN 160746 L37A
4m ago
Smooth
ARP VIR20V 5639N 03527W 0745 F370 M44 001/20 5600N 03000W 0807 5500N 02000W KT GVWOO DDL XXN 160745 L35A
5m ago
Smooth
ARP RCH894 5621N04253W 0742 F310 5500N04500W 0756 5100N05000W MS54 310/22 KT 66163A DDL XXN 160742 F42A
8m ago
Smooth
ARP RCH891 5543N03348W 0741 F320 5500N04000W 0812 5300N05000W MS45 233/31 KT 33126A DDL XXN 160741 F73A
9m ago
AI-powered flight briefing
11,000 data points analyzed
· HIGH confidence
Your Journey Beta
1 hour, 1 hour, and 4 hours 30 minutes into the flight: Some moderate bumps expected.
The crew may adjust altitude or ask you to stay seated during these sections.
The rest of the flight should be smooth.
Your route takes you over the Appalachian Mountains and crossing the North Atlantic Ocean – these areas can sometimes cause light turbulence.
Mostly Smooth
Overall conditions look mostly smooth with occasional light bumps. Nothing to worry about.
Takeoff
Takeoff should feel smooth with possible light bumps, with calm conditions around the airport.
Winds Aloft
Winds at cruising altitude are about 70 knots. These winds are favorable and may get you there up to 43 minutes early.
Landing
Landing should feel smooth with possible light bumps with typical approach conditions.
You're in Safe Hands
If you feel nervous at any point, remember that turbulence is expected, safe, and part of normal flying. The crew is monitoring everything, and the aircraft is built to handle far more than anything you will feel. Have a safe and calm flight.
Relaxation Exercises
ZeroTurb Index (ZTI): Powered by our turbulence prediction algorithm combining atmospheric Richardson Number, wind shear analysis, temperature gradients, and geomagnetic activity. Learn more
Flight Timeline 6h 55min
Maximum turbulence expected per segment
Takeoff
Light
0:30-1:00
Moderate
1:00-1:30
Moderate
1:30-2:00
Light
2:00-2:30
Light
2:30-3:00
Light
3:00-3:30
Light
3:30-4:00
Light
4:00-4:29
Light
4:29-4:58
Moderate
4:58-5:27
Light
5:27-5:56
Light
5:56-6:25
Light
Landing
Light
Smooth
Light
Moderate
Severe
Longer bars indicate higher turbulence intensity. Values shown are the maximum for each time segment.
Airport conditions
Live weather at departure and arrival
YYZ
Toronto Lester B. Pearson International Airport — Departure
Visibility
10+ mi
Wind
18 kt G28 (250°)
Sky
Overcast
Temperature
9°C
Conditions
VFR — Clear conditions, no delays expected
MAN
Manchester Airport — Arrival
Wind
12 kt (250°)
Sky
Scattered
Temperature
5°C
Conditions
VFR — Clear conditions, no delays expected
Your flight details
Departure timing and aircraft information
Evening Flight Departure
Time of day
Evening Flight
Tip
Evening and night flights typically offer smoother conditions as thermal activity subsides and the atmosphere stabilizes after sunset.
When
Tomorrow — conditions may change
Data sources & our approach
ZeroTurb's Custom Algorithm: Our proprietary
ZeroTurb Index (ZTI) combines three meteorological indices weighted by their
predictive accuracy — giving you transparent, passenger-focused turbulence probability instead
of vague categories.
This forecast integrates data from:
- ECMWF Open Data — Global atmospheric model (wind/temperature at 13 flight levels)
- NOAA Aviation Weather Center — Pilot Reports (PIREPs), SIGMETs/AIRMETs, TAFs
- NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center — Aurora forecasts for polar routes
- AviationStack API — Flight schedules and airline operational data
Disclaimer: This forecast is for informational purposes only. Always consult official aviation weather sources and follow ATC guidance.